실험 기록

우리가 시도한 모든 것.

4편의 기록, 세 가지 상태. ‘반증됨’은 실험실의 실패가 아니라 - 그 자체가 결과물입니다.

SHIPPED

GPU passthrough into LXC, without the pain

Four identical RTX 5060 Ti cards, one Proxmox container, and a PCIe lane map that quietly decides which card is allowed to talk to which. The passthrough was the easy part.

2026-08-11 · 12분홈랩
SHIPPED

The look-ahead bug that made our backtest look worse

Our Chandelier exit peeked one bar ahead, cutting winners short instead of inflating the result. A fixed backtest is not a found edge: ETH 4h went from -16.2% to +185.0%.

2026-07-03 · 8분트레이딩
FALSIFIED

Our LLM Polymarket bot was just reading the market price back to us

Aggregate Brier score 0.12. And it lost to the market in every single edge bucket. A postmortem of an LLM forecaster that turned out to be an expensive mirror.

2026-06-07 · 8분트레이딩
SHIPPED

Everything I got wrong planning a $5.5k AI homelab

Three planning mistakes, one invisible GPU, and seven months of running a 64GB-VRAM box that ended up doing a completely different job than the one I built it for.

2025-12-01 · 9분홈랩
THE GRAVEYARD · 자랑스럽게 묻다

숨기지 않고, 묻었습니다.

반증된 실험은 전부 기록으로 남습니다 - 장례식을 치를 가치가 있었던 교훈 한 줄과 함께.

2026-06-07
Our LLM Polymarket bot was just reading the market price back to us
교훈Calibration is not edge. Brier score says your probabilities are honest; only win rate against your counterparty says they're worth anything.